Richard Wyckoff watched price and volume for forty years and noticed every market move passes through four phases. Accumulation. Markup. Distribution. Markdown. Then it starts over.
Big money cannot buy huge size at one price. They have to absorb shares slowly while keeping price quiet. That is accumulation. Then they let price run. That is markup. Then they sell into strength to retail. That is distribution. Then price falls until the cycle starts again.
Price moves sideways in a range after a downtrend. Volume is choppy. Some big down days get bought immediately. Some pop attempts get sold. The range tightens.
Inside this range you watch for the spring. A drop below the range low that reverses fast. The spring shakes out weak holders. Big money buys their shares. Then price never goes back below that low.
Price breaks out of the accumulation range with conviction. Volume expands. Pullbacks are shallow and bought. Each high gets exceeded. Each low gets respected.
This is the trend phase. Trend followers eat well here. Mean reversion traders get chopped.
Price stops making higher highs. It chops sideways near the top. Volume on up days fades. Volume on down days picks up. Failed breakouts above the range.
Distribution looks a lot like accumulation. Both are sideways ranges. The difference is what came before. Range after a downtrend equals accumulation. Range after an uptrend equals distribution.
Price breaks down out of the distribution range. Volume expands on the way down. Bounces fail. Lower highs and lower lows.
The down trend continues until selling exhausts. Then a new accumulation range starts. The wheel turns.
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